Abstract
BACKGROUND: This study examined the association between physical activity (PA) and osteoporosis risk and, using plasma proteomics and mediation analysis, identified circulating proteins and pathways that mediate this relationship.</p>
METHODS: We included 39,799 UK Biobank participants free of osteoporosis at baseline. Cox regression models assessed associations between PA and incident osteoporosis. Linear regression identified PA-associated proteins, and enrichment analysis characterised their functional pathways. Taking moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) categories as the exposure, causal mediation analysis within a Cox framework estimated the total effect (TE), pure natural direct effect (PNDE), pure natural indirect effect (PNIE), and proportion mediated (PM). Proteins with significant mediation effects underwent pathway enrichment analysis.</p>
RESULTS: Over a mean follow-up of 13.1 years, 1589 participants developed osteoporosis. After multivariable adjustment, moderate and high MVPA were associated with lower osteoporosis risk (HR=0.75, 95% CI 0.64-0.88; HR=0.74, 95% CI 0.63-0.87), whereas the association for low MVPA was weaker. Restricted cubic splines showed that, compared with 0 MET-min/week, MVPA in the range of approximately 500-7000 MET-min/week was associated with the lowest risk, with little additional benefit at higher levels. We identified 60 proteins (PM ≥ 5%) that mediated the MVPA-osteoporosis association, mainly enriched in cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction and PI3K-Akt signaling.</p>
CONCLUSION: PA is inversely associated with osteoporosis risk. Plasma proteins involved in immune/inflammatory regulation, mechanotransduction signaling, and the PI3K-Akt signaling pathway exerted significant mediating effects in this association. These proteins represent candidates for further investigation in studies designed to establish causality and clinical utility.</p>