Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Metabolic dysfunction- and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD) is a poorly understood condition that bridges cardiometabolic and alcohol-related pathological characteristics. We aimed to differentiate patients with MetALD whose molecular signatures more closely resemble either alcohol-related liver disease (ALD) or metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), and to assess their relative risks of complications and mortality.</p>
METHODS: We analysed data from 443,453 European participants in the UK Biobank, including 34,147 with MetALD, 11,220 with ALD, and 124,034 with MASLD. Elastic net regression was used to classify ALD and MASLD based on 249 plasma metabolites and/or 2,941 plasma proteins, with multiple sensitivity analyses. We then applied the resulting concise model to patients with MetALD to identify an alcohol-predominant group (classified as ALD) and a cardiometabolic-predominant group (classified as MASLD). Finally, we evaluated their 15-year risk of major outcomes (heart failure, myocardial infarction, stroke, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and mortality) using Cox regression.</p>
RESULTS: The metabolome alone discriminated ALD from MASLD with an AUC of 0.86, while the proteome alone achieved an AUC of 0.96. Adding age, sex, BMI, liver enzymes, or metabolome information did not enhance the AUC of the proteome model. A 10-protein model differentiated ALD from MASLD with an AUC of 0.93. This model identified that patients with alcohol-predominant MetALD had significantly higher risks of mortality, and cirrhosis, along with elevated fibrosis scores and higher fibrosis stages, compared to patients with cardiometabolic-predominant MetALD.</p>
CONCLUSIONS: This study highlights the value of proteomic subtyping in MetALD, enabling more personalized treatment strategies and improved prognostic assessment.</p>
IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: This study underscores the critical importance of distinguishing subtypes of metabolic dysfunction- and alcohol-associated liver disease (MetALD) using proteomic data, providing a foundation for personalized treatment strategies. The findings hold significant relevance for healthcare providers, researchers, and policymakers by highlighting the differing risks associated with alcohol-predominant vs. cardiometabolic-predominant MetALD. Clinicians can apply the classification model developed in this study to more accurately assess patients and guide targeted therapies and preventive measures based on individual profiles. However, limitations of the study, such as reliance on self-reported alcohol consumption and the specificity of diagnostic criteria, necessitate further validation in diverse cohorts.</p>