| Title: | Statistical learning for sparser fine-mapped polygenic models: The prediction of LDL-cholesterol |
| Journal: | Genetic Epidemiology |
| Published: | 8 Aug 2022 |
| Pubmed: | https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35938382/ |
| DOI: | https://doi.org/10.1002/gepi.22495 |
| URL: | https://pure.rug.nl/ws/files/238504092/Genetic_Epidemiology_2022_Maj_Statistical_learning_for_sparser_fine_mapped_polygenic_models_The_prediction_of.pdf |
Publication 8158
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Abstract
Polygenic risk scores quantify the individual genetic predisposition regarding a particular trait. We propose and illustrate the application of existing statistical learning methods to derive sparser models for genome-wide data with a polygenic signal. Our approach is based on three consecutive steps. First, potentially informative loci are identified by a marginal screening approach. Then, fine-mapping is independently applied for blocks of variants in linkage disequilibrium, where informative variants are retrieved by using variable selection methods including boosting with probing and stochastic searches with the Adaptive Subspace method. Finally, joint prediction models with the selected variants are derived using statistical boosting. In contrast to alternative approaches relying on univariate summary statistics from genome-wide association studies, our three-step approach enables to select and fit multivariable regression models on large-scale genotype data. Based on UK Biobank data, we develop prediction models for LDL-cholesterol as a continuous trait. Additionally, we consider a recent scalable algorithm for the Lasso. Results show that statistical learning approaches based on fine-mapping of genetic signals result in a competitive prediction performance compared to classical polygenic risk approaches, while yielding sparser risk models.7 Authors
- Carlo Maj
- Christian Staerk
- Oleg Borisov
- Hannah Klinkhammer
- Ming Wai Yeung
- Peter Krawitz
- Andreas Mayr
1 Application
| Application ID | Title |
|---|---|
| 81202 | Association and prediction models for complex phenotypes characterized by different genetic architecture. |
Enabling scientific discoveries that improve human health